feat(cpp/datascience): CPU stats + MCMC primitives

Nuevo dominio cpp/functions/datascience con primitivas puras CPU para post-
proceso de samples Monte Carlo y diagnostico de cadenas MCMC. Diseñadas como
gemelas CPU de los kernels GPU (rng pareja con gpu_rng_glsl, MH 1D/ND con
mc_metropolis_hastings_gpu) para validar numericamente y para datasets
pequeños donde el dispatch GPU no compensa.

- rng: xoshiro256++ con uniform / normal (Box-Muller) / below (Lemire) /
  categorical. Determinista bit-exacto dado seed.
- stats_summary: sum (Kahan), mean, var/std (Welford one-pass), min, max,
  quantile / percentile (R type-7).
- autocorr: r(k), ACF, tau_int (Sokal) — diagnostico ACF y ESS.
- rhat_ess: Gelman-Rubin clasico y split + ESS basico (multi-chain).
- beta_dist: lgamma (Lanczos), beta_pdf, beta_cdf (continued fraction),
  beta_quantile, mean/var/std — para inferencia Beta-Binomial.
- drawdown: max_dd absoluto/pct + underwater series para sesiones
  simuladas y backtests.
- samples_to_grid_2d: binning 2D CPU para alimentar heatmap_cpp_viz /
  contour_cpp_viz desde samples (x[], y[]).
- metropolis_hastings: MH 1D y ND con target log-pdf como std::function
  (no normalizada).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
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#include "datascience/autocorr.h"
#include <cmath>
namespace fn::ds {
static double mean_inline(const double* x, std::size_t n) {
if (n == 0) return 0.0;
double s = 0.0;
for (std::size_t i = 0; i < n; ++i) s += x[i];
return s / static_cast<double>(n);
}
static double var_inline(const double* x, std::size_t n, double mu) {
if (n == 0) return 0.0;
double s = 0.0;
for (std::size_t i = 0; i < n; ++i) {
double d = x[i] - mu;
s += d * d;
}
return s / static_cast<double>(n);
}
double autocorr_lag(const double* x, std::size_t n, std::size_t k) {
if (x == nullptr || n <= 1 || k >= n) return 0.0;
double mu = mean_inline(x, n);
double var = var_inline(x, n, mu);
if (var <= 0.0) return (k == 0 ? 0.0 : 0.0);
double cov = 0.0;
std::size_t m = n - k;
for (std::size_t i = 0; i < m; ++i) {
cov += (x[i] - mu) * (x[i + k] - mu);
}
cov /= static_cast<double>(m);
return cov / var;
}
void autocorr_acf(const double* x, std::size_t n,
std::size_t max_lag, double* out) {
if (out == nullptr || max_lag == 0) return;
if (x == nullptr || n <= 1) {
for (std::size_t k = 0; k < max_lag; ++k) out[k] = 0.0;
return;
}
double mu = mean_inline(x, n);
double var = var_inline(x, n, mu);
if (var <= 0.0) {
for (std::size_t k = 0; k < max_lag; ++k) out[k] = 0.0;
return;
}
for (std::size_t k = 0; k < max_lag; ++k) {
if (k >= n) { out[k] = 0.0; continue; }
double cov = 0.0;
std::size_t m = n - k;
for (std::size_t i = 0; i < m; ++i) {
cov += (x[i] - mu) * (x[i + k] - mu);
}
cov /= static_cast<double>(m);
out[k] = cov / var;
}
}
double autocorr_tau(const double* x, std::size_t n,
std::size_t max_lag, double cutoff) {
if (x == nullptr || n <= 1) return 1.0;
if (max_lag == 0) max_lag = 1;
double mu = mean_inline(x, n);
double var = var_inline(x, n, mu);
if (var <= 0.0) return 1.0;
double sum = 0.0;
std::size_t kmax = (max_lag < n ? max_lag : n - 1);
for (std::size_t k = 1; k < kmax; ++k) {
double cov = 0.0;
std::size_t m = n - k;
for (std::size_t i = 0; i < m; ++i) {
cov += (x[i] - mu) * (x[i + k] - mu);
}
cov /= static_cast<double>(m);
double r = cov / var;
if (std::fabs(r) < cutoff) break;
sum += r;
}
return 1.0 + 2.0 * sum;
}
} // namespace fn::ds